Consumers return to convenience foods as COVID-19 restrictions ease, but pandemic habits still with us: Kantar

Consumers return to convenience foods as COVID-19 restrictions ease, but pandemic habits still with us: Kantar

The latest figures from Kantar show that Irish take-home grocery sales declined by 4.5% over the 12 weeks to 23 January 2022.  However, sales still remain 11.2% higher than two years ago before the pandemic took hold.

Emer Healy, senior retail analyst at Kantar, comments: “Life is returning to some normality in Ireland and grocery sales have dropped year on year as people take the chance to eat out in pubs, cafés and restaurants again.

“We can see the impact of these busier social calendars in people’s baskets.  Many consumers have turned to convenience options as they juggle new routines, with an additional €14.5 million spent on chilled convenience this period.  On the back of our new-found freedoms, sales of deodorant and men’s skincare have also soared 3.8% and 6.5% respectively as we aim to look and smell our best when seeing friends and family again.”

Despite easing restrictions, it’s clear that COVID-19 has had a lasting impact on people’s lifestyles and in turn, on the way they shop.

Emer Healy explains: “During the different lockdowns, many shoppers used delivery services for the first time and the habit has stuck.  Online grocery sales grew again this month by 3.8%, with consumers spending €5.4 million more than at the same time last year.  The channel also continues to attract new shoppers.

“While some familiar routines are returning, it’s not been a straight switch back to the old ways of doing things.  Many of us are now working from home for part of the week and that means we’re less likely to go out for lunch or for a meal after work on those days.  As a result, people are buying 13.3% more on each trip to the supermarket than they were in early 2020.  There’s also a sense that some people still feel a bit cautious about COVID-19 and not everyone is ready to get out just yet.”

Inflation

Household budgets are coming under pressure as grocery price inflation reached its highest level since October 2020 this period at 1.7%.  Emer Healy comments: “The number of products being sold on promotion has dropped by 3% compared with last January.  We’re already seeing evidence of people starting to shop around at different retailers to try and find the best price for their weekly shop.”

Dry January saw record-breaking engagement in Ireland, with 7.6% of households purchasing a non-alcoholic beverage, an increase of 5.8% since 2018.  In contrast, the impact of Veganuary was more muted as Irish shoppers spent €481,000 less on frozen vegetarian products than this time last year.

Emer Healy comments: “Non-alcoholic drinks are enjoying really strong growth and this looks set to continue following the introduction of minimum unit pricing in Ireland.  Dry January gave people the perfect opportunity to explore the different options on the supermarket shelves and many traditional brands are diversifying their ranges to keep up with the change in demand.”

Dunnes retained its position as Ireland’s largest retailer this month, holding 23.1% of the market in the period up to 23 January 2022.  The retailer benefited from the largest influx of new shoppers, who contributed an additional €42.2 million to its performance.

SuperValu follows closely with a market share of 22.2% while Tesco is just 0.1 percentage points behind this at 22.1%.  Lidl now holds an 11.8% share, with Aldi at 11.6%.

 

Total Take Home Grocery – Consumer Spend 12 weeks to 24 Jan 2021 12 weeks to 23 Jan 2022 Change (year on year) Change (vs 2 years ago)*
% % % %
Total Outlets 100.0% 100.0% -4.5% 11.2%
Total Multiples 89.8% 90.8% -3.3% 12.7%
Dunnes 22.6% 23.1% -2.4% 8.6%
SuperValu 22.1% 22.2% -4.3% 13.5%
Tesco 21.9% 22.1% -3.3% 12.7%
Lidl 11.9% 11.8% -5.4% 18.9%
Aldi 11.3% 11.6% -1.3% 13.8%
Other Outlets** 10.2% 9.2% -14.7% -2.2%
*This is provided to give further context to the year-on-year growth figures, which are now comparing against the accelerated take-home sales recorded during the COVID-19 pandemic.
**Includes stores such as M&S, Boots, Spar, Centra, greengrocers, butchers and cross border shops
 

An update on inflation

Grocery market inflation stands at 1.7%* for the 12-week period ending 23 January 2022.  This is the highest level of inflation since October 2020.

*This figure is based on over 30,000 identical products compared year-on-year in the proportions purchased by Irish shoppers and therefore represents the most authoritative figure currently available. It is a ‘pure’ inflation measure in that shopping behaviour is held constant between the two comparison periods – shoppers are likely to achieve a lower personal inflation rate if they trade down or seek out more offers.